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10 NFL Betting Tips For Week 7 

With a third of the season gone, things are starting to take shape in the NFL. The Philadelphia Eagles remain the only unbeaten team in the league with a 6-0 record while Super Bowl favourites, Buffalo Bills are 5-1 after a hard fought away win in Kansas City. There have been a few surprises so far, most notably the other two New York teams; the New York Giants (5-1) and the New York Jets (4-2), both of whom have started the season with fantastic records.  Then, we have the Carolina Panthers who many expected to be poor – which they are with a 1-5 record – but have taken it a step further by blowing things up after trading two of their best players and focusing on next year’s draft. We’ll start this weekend’s preview with them.  

Note: The figures in the brackets represent each team’s win-loss-tie record. 


EXTRA POINT BETS 

All bets come with some risks especially in the NFL, but these Extra Point Bets are some of the easy ones to hit. 

Carolina Panthers (1-5) v Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) 

The Panthers are one of the worst teams in the league and it seems they’re about to get worse. Speedy Wide Receiver Robbie Anderson was traded to the Cardinals earlier in the week following an exchange of words with interim Head Coach Steve Wilks that led to him being asked to leave the field and head to the locker room with the game still ongoing. On Friday, they traded their best player, Running Back Christian McCaffrey who, on his day, is one of the best in his position but has been plagued by injuries in recent years and has missed 23 games since the start of the 2020 Regular Season. Though the Tampa Bay Buccaneers suffered an embarrassing defeat to the Steelers last weekend and will be without one of their key players, Wide Receiver Julio Jones, Tom Brady and his teammates should have more than enough to secure a win against a Panthers team who look set to tank the season for a high draft pick.  

Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win @1.14 and Total Points for Panthers: Under 14.5 @1.67 

 

 


New England Patriots (3-3) v Chicago Bears (2-4) 

The Chicago Bears have beaten the New England Patriots once in the last 35 years. They’ve actually only met 9 times in those 35 years with the Patriots winning 8 times which makes that statistic less harsh than it appears on the surface but, 1 win in 35 years is awful, regardless. The Chicago Bears average 122.8 passing yards per game (league worst) and score 15.5 pts per game (2nd league worst). As the popular NFL saying goes, anything can happen on any given Sunday. Unfortunately for the Bears, this is a Monday night game and it will be a straightforward win for Bill Belichick and his returning QB Mac Jones.  

Prediction: New England Patriots to win @1.28 


 


Las Vegas Raiders (1-4) v Houston Texans (1-3-1)  

The Raiders are one of those talented teams that just can’t seem to get the job done, hence their 1-4 record. Their 4 losses have been by an average of 3.5 points with their last loss to the Kansas City Chiefs ending 30-29. Their Point Differential (-5) is better than 14 other teams while their Points Per Game (25.0) is the 6th best in the league. Clearly, this is a very good team that has simply had problems holding on to leads. Coming off a Bye-Week and being well rested should be enough advantage against a Texans team who also have just 1 win but, unlike the Raiders, are as bad as their record says. The Texans struggle to move the ball and have a 3rd Down conversion rate of just 29.2%, the second worst in the league behind Carolina Panthers (23.6%).  

Prediction: Las Vegas Raiders to win @1.32  

 

 


Washington Commanders (2-4) v Green Bay Packers (3-3) 

The Packers have been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL so far. Two weeks ago, they narrowly beat the then-underperforming Patriots but needed Overtime to do so. They followed that up with defeats to the New York Giants and, last week at home, the New York Jets. With the Vikings (5-1) running away with the Divisional lead, the Packers could be in danger of missing the playoffs. Luckily for them, they face the Washington Commanders who are much worse than they are and will be without their starting QB Carson Wentz for 4-6 weeks with a finger injury. The Commanders put up the 4th worst points this season (17.0 points per game) and the Packers, led by reigning back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers, should take care of business.   

Prediction: Green Bay Packers to win @1.45 

 

 


Dallas Cowboys (4-2) v Detroit Lions (1-4)  

2 weeks ago, the Detroit Lions boasted the #1 ranked offense in the NFL despite losing 3 of their 4 games heading into Week 5. They went on to suffer a humbling 29-0 defeat in New England as the Patriots’ defense proved way too strong to breach. This weekend, they visit the Cowboys who have a better defense than the Patriots and boast a potential Defensive Player of the Year in Micah Parsons. Though the Lions have one of the best offenses in the NFL, their defense offsets that by giving up the most points in the league (34.0PPG), 5.4pts worse than the second worst, the New Orleans Saints. With Dak Prescott returning after a month on the sidelines, the Cowboys should come away with a win even though the Lions are bound to give them a little scare.  

Prediction: Dallas Cowboys to win @1.33 

 

 


RED ZONE BETS 

The Redzone Bets are our dangerous bets. While they’re risky, always remember, “fortune favours the brave”. 

Baltimore Ravens (3-3) v Cleveland Browns (2-4) 

The Ravens have lost 3 games this season and in each of those 3 losses, they led by 10 pts or more. In last week’s 24-20 loss to the Giants, former league MVP Lamar Jackson had two 4th Quarter turnovers – an interception and a strip-sack fumble. The Ravens’ problems on the offensive side of the ball continue to pile up with standout Running Back J.K. Dobbins expected to miss 4-6 weeks after undergoing an arthroscopic knee surgery. Browns aren’t having it easy either. Their problems on defense seem to get worse every week and they suffered a 38-15 loss to a New England team led by Rookie Quarterback Bailey Zappe. Luckily for them, Jadeveon Clowney could be in action after sitting out last week through injury while Myles Garrett seems to be getting back to 100% following a car crash last month. This Divisional rivalry is very tough to call with both teams’ inconsistencies a constant worry. We’ll play it as safe as can be by betting on Touchdowns.  

Prediction: Under 5.5 Touchdowns @1.62 

 

 


San Francisco 49ers (3-3) v Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) 

In this rematch of the 2020 Super Bowl, the 49ers host the Chiefs with both teams coming into this game having suffered losses last weekend. The Chiefs lost 24-20 to the Buffalo Bills with Patrick Mahomes throwing a game-deciding interception very late in the 4th quarter. The 49ers’ defeat hurt but even worse than that is their injury list which keeps piling up and is threatening to destroy what was once a promising season. At the end of their 28-14 loss to the Falcons last Sunday, only 4 of the 49ers’ 11 projected starters on defense were healthy; Fred Warner, Dre Greenlaw, Talanoa Hufanga and Samson Ebukam. On Monday, that number was down to 3 as Safety, Talanoa Hufanga was placed in Concussion Protocol.  

The 49ers just traded for star Running Back Christian McCaffrey from the Panthers but it might be too early to start him or expect him to make a significant impact. These are two excellently coached teams and the only reason I’m sticking with the Chiefs is the injury problems the 49ers are having to deal with.  

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs to win @1.73 

 

 


Los Angeles Chargers (4-2) v Seattle Seahawks (3-3) 

The Chargers have won 3 games in a row and things seem to be coming together for them. Their Point Differential of -11 is a bit skewed by the shocking 38-10 defeat they suffered at home to the Jaguars as they’ve kept things tighter besides that game. Justin Herbert isn’t having the MVP season many predicted but, they’re at least winning games which is the most important thing.  

The Seahawks boast one of the most impressive 3-3 records this season with many expecting them to be one of the worst teams following the departure of Super Bowl winning Quarterback Russell Wilson. Geno Smith leads their explosive offense and they put up the 9th most Points Per Game (24.3) and rank 5th in 3rd down conversion (44.3%). On the other side of the ball, cornerback Tariq Woolen is making himself a prime candidate for the Defensive Rookie of the Year award following his 4th interception of the season on Sunday. He’ll be one to look out for. I like the Chargers’ winning this but I fancy a high scoring game better so I’ll stick to that.  

Prediction: Over 49.5 total points @1.78  

 

 


Miami Dolphins (3-3) v Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) 

Tua Tagovailoa returns to action for the Dolphins after recovering from an ugly concussion that prompted the league to change its flawed Concussion Protocol. The Dolphins were 3-0 while he was fully healthy and looked like one of the best teams in the league. However, they have lost 3 games in a row in his absence and have temporarily dropped out of the playoff picture. The Steelers’ starting quarterback. Kenny Pickett also suffered a concussion but his came last weekend following an upset victory over Tom Brady & the Buccaneers. As of Saturday morning, he had not been cleared by the NFL to play which is a big problem for the Steelers who look very bland when backup QB Mitch Trubisky is on the field.  

Prediction: Miami Dolphins to win @1.34 

 

 


UPSET OF THE WEEK 

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) v New York Giants (5-1)  

I’ll be honest, I have this game listed as the Upset of the Week solely because the Jaguars, who have won just twice all season, are heavy favourites to win against a Giants team that has lost just once. The Giants are 3-1 in games in which they’ve trailed by 10pts or more including last weekend’s 24-20 win over the Ravens. They’re slowly becoming one of the most resilient sides in the league and will punish any team that doesn’t put them out early. Saquon Barkley has been the star of their season and is a heavy favourite to win both the Offensive Player of the Year & Comeback Player of the Year awards. He’s second in Rushing Yards (616) which is already more than he managed in his 13 games last season (539 yards). He was placed on the injury report earlier in the week due to a shoulder injury but was removed on Friday which means we should see him this weekend. The Jaguars have shown glimpses of promises this season but the odds of the Giants winning is just too enticing to pass up.  

Prediction: New York Giants to win @2.37 

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