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Real Madrid vs Manchester City | UEFA Champions League Match and Betting preview

Real Madrid vs Man City

Following one of the most extraordinary Champions League semi-final first-leg ties in recent memory, Real Madrid and Manchester City square off at the Santiago Bernabeu for the second leg.


Real Madrid need no introduction. They’re the biggest football club in the world and have won this particular competition 13 times. They’re no match for the Cityzens on paper but will hope that they can use their experience and know-how at this level to win and advance to the final.


Manchester City are arguably the best team in club football at the moment. Backed by the considerable resources of the Abu Dhabi group and featuring the almost peerless talents of Pep Guardiola managing the City players, their biggest wish is to win their first UEFA Champions League, especially after coming so close last year before losing to Chelsea in the final.

If they can win at the Santiago Bernabeu, they’ll feel confident that this year, that elusive Champions League victory will finally be theirs.


Read on for our pre match review, betting tips and predictions below! 


Real Madrid vs Manchester City H2H 

This will be the 10th meeting of the two teams, they’ve both already played 9 times. Over that period, Real Madrid have won three games while Man City have four wins. They’ve also drawn two games.

The home side has already won the La Liga title by accumulating 81 points after 34 games already. City, on the other hand, are 1st on the English Premier League table and have 83 points from the same number of games.

Madrid can afford to run their players into the ground tonight, while Man City will have the pursuing Liverpool at the back of their minds. The Champions League final is a priority, but they’ll be loath to lose any players that will be vital to their Premier League hopes.


Form guide 

The home side have won three of their last five games and lost the other two games. (Form: W-L-W-W-L) 

Manchester City, on the other hand, have won four of their last five games and lost the fifth. (W-W-W-W-L) 


Real Madrid vs Manchester City Team news 

David Alaba (muscle injury), Eden Hazard (Ankle injury), Gareth Bale (Back injury) Luka Jovic (Groin injury) and Miguel Gutierrez (Muscle injury) are all injured and will miss the game.


Expected Real Madrid Lineup: Courtois. Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, Nacho Fernandes, Ferland Mendy. Toni Kroos, Casemiro, Luka Modric. Federico Valverde, Karim Benzema, Vinicius Junior. (4-3-3)


John Stones (muscle injury) is still out but the bigger worry for Guardiola will be the potential absence of Kyle Walker (sprained ankle).

The English full back’s pace allows Man City to regularly keep a high line, safe in the knowledge that Walker’s tremendous pace can bail them out of trouble most of the time.

After how Vinicius Junior turned Fernandinho so easily and ran the length of the pitch to score in the first leg, Guardiola will be making special plans to prevent the Brazilian winger from getting free so easily.

Luckily, João Cancelo will be back in the Manchester City squad after serving his suspension.


Expected Manchester City Lineup: Ederson. João Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Aymeric Laporte, Oleksandr Zinchenko. Bernardo Silva, Rodri, Kevin De Bruyne. Riyad Mahrez, Gabriel Jesus, Phil Foden. (4-3-3)


Relevant stats 

  • Manchester City are unbeaten in 14 away games. This could be a problem for Real Madrid who have lost twice in the UCL this season, including their last home game against an English team.


  • Madrid average 52.2% of possession in the Champions League this season while Man City have a 61% UCL possession average. The away team also averages 559 accurate passes/game compared to Real Madrid’s 509.6 accurate passes/game.


  • Real Madrid concede just 9 fouls/game while Man City average 9.82 fouls/game. The home team has also received 21 yellow cards in the Champions League this season, two more than Manchester City’s 19 yellow cards.


  • The home and away team average 5.7 and 5.5 shots/per game consecutively. They both also concede 1.2 goals/match this season


  • Real Madrid win possession in the final third 7.1 times per game, more than Man City’s 5.3 possessions won in the attacking third. City’s reduced final third recoveries and their high possession stats shows that the Cityzens rely more on methodical passing while Real Madrid prefer to press high more often and attack immediately. City will need to be especially careful when they attempt to play out from the back.


  • Real Madrid have conceded 16.7 xG this season, substantially more than City’s concession of 9.3 xG. If Madrid continue to give up so many quality chances, they will pay for it eventually against City.


  • Karim Benzema is the highest scorer this Champions League season with 14 goals, compared to City’s highest goal scorer, Riyad Mahrez. The Algerian forward missed several good chances to add to his 6 UCL goals in the first leg and will be eager to rectify that at the Bernabeu tomorrow.



Real Madrid vs Manchester City prediction

One thing we can be sure of in this game is goals. Bet on Both teams to score @ 1.43

If you’d like to increase the risk and your potential win, look no further than this King’s Combo offer; Real Madrid To Win & Vinicius To Score @ 8.50 (up from 7.5)

If you fancy Real Madrid to keep up their gung-ho style of football and keep attacking, and Man City manage to record over 5.5 shots on target (their ’21-22 UCL average), then Man City to record over 5.5 shots on target should be easily achieved.

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