Chelsea vs Arsenal: English Premier League Match Preview And Betting Prediction
Two old foes clash tonight as Chelsea host Arsenal at Stamford Bridge. The stakes are lower this time, both teams have flattered to deceive at several periods this season and will both be grateful to finish in the UCL spots.
Chelsea bounced back from their disappointing loss to Real Madrid last week with a win against Crystal Palace over the weekend. The Blues will now face Liverpool in the FA Cup final next month.
Arsenal had top-four qualification in their hands before they let it slip after losing three winnable games in quick succession. They will be hard-pressed to beat a strong Chelsea team and keep their top four hopes alive.
Read on for our match preview below!
Chelsea vs Arsenal H2H
Tomorrow’s game will be the 67th time the two teams meet in competitive fixtures. Chelsea edge this rivalry with 25 wins, 3 more than Arsenal’s 22 wins. There have also been 19 draws in this fixture.
Chelsea are currently 3rd on the EPL table, with 62 points from 30 games. The visitors, Arsenal, are in 6th place, with 54 points from 31 games played. Chelsea’s game in hand and 8 point cushion to Arsenal means they’re favorites to finish 3rd this season. They will move closer to that objective with a win here.
The home side’s Win-Loss- Draw record reads: 18-4-8 while the away side has a 15-9-9 record.
In their last 10 competitive H2H games in all competitions, Arsenal have the better record with 5 wins to Chelsea’s 4 victories. There has been one draw over that period.
Chelsea have won three and lost two of their last five games (Form: W-W-W-L-L) while Arsenal’s form has been abysmal over the same period. The Gunners have won just one and lost 4 of their last 5 games. (Form: L-L-L-W-L)
Chelsea vs Arsenal Team News
Chelsea players, Ben Chilwell (knee ligaments) and Callum Hudson-Odoi (Achilles) are injured and will miss this game.
Expected Chelsea lineup: Edouard Mendy, César Azpilicueta, Thiago Silva, Antonio Rüdiger, Reece James, N’Golo Kanté, Jorginho, Marcos Alonso. Mason Mount, Timo Werner, Kai Havertz. (3-4-1-2)
Arsenal head Coach, Mikel Arteta took the gamble of heading into the crucial period of the season with a light squad. That risk has backfired as several key players are either out injured, or suffering a serious loss of form.
Thomas Partey (thigh) and Kieran Tierney (knee) are out, possibly for the season. First choice centre forward, Alexandre Lacazette (COVID-19) and right back Takehiro Tomiyasu (calf injury) are also likely to miss the Chelsea game.
Expected Arsenal starting XI: Aaron Ramsdale, Cedric Soares, Ben White, Gabriel Magalhães, Nuno Tavares. Granit Xhaka, Mohamed Elneny. Bukayo Saka, Martin Ødegaard, Gabriel Martinelli, Eddie Nketiah. (4-3-3)
Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
If the Arsenal players and coaching staff feel slighted by Thomas Tuchel’s statements, this already feisty rivalry could become even tenser. Mikel Arteta’s claims that Arsenal are at a disadvantage were laughed off by the Chelsea Head Coach, who pointed out the North London team’s lighter schedule, which included no European football this season and early exits from domestic tournaments.
Key Match stats:
- Arsenal have scored just 45 goals in the EPL this season, the least among the top 7 sides. Of those 45 goals, just 31 have been from open play, with the remaining 14 from set pieces.
- In their last 5 H2H fixtures, there have been over 9.5 corner kicks in each game and over 2.5 bookings in 4 out of the 5 games.
- On the “big chances” created table, Chelsea are 4th with 61 big chances created. Arsenal are 16th, with just 34 big chances created.
- Chelsea had close to 70% of the ball in the last game. They also completed over 600 passes against a Crystal Palace side that beat Arsenal 3-0.
- This fixture averages over 1.5 goals per fixture.
- Chelsea’s best player in the league has been Mason Mount who has 10 goals and 8 assists this season while Arsenal’s has been Bukayo Saka with 9 goals and 5 assists.
We’re backing the expert picks:
If Arsenal feel slighted by Tuchel’s comments, Over 2.5 bookings becomes even more likely. The H2H stats back Over 9.5 corner kicks and the form of both teams means a Chelsea home win (Odds Boost applied from 1.90 – 1.93) is the likely outcome.